SYRIA – NO MILITARY STRIKE NOW

Syria, no military strike now is not a headline, but an opinion.

The United Nations seeking to avert a military option and the great powers having not yet exhausted other means to accomplish the other united nations desired course of Syria behavior modification may not prevent a military strike against Syria. However, a non-military course still clearly is an option.

One can suggest that Syria can be asked to stop using chemical weapons, because they are horrific, and violate international law.

No it is not possible, because Syria will not hear us, nor agree with us and we want Assad out.

One can order Syria to stop using chemical weapons against any people including internally against rebels.

No it is not possible, because Syria will not hear us, nor agree with us and we want Assad out.

One can threaten Syria with military retaliation against anything Syria owns, including people with balls, if Syria uses chemical weapons illegally again; or in retaliation for prior alleged acts.

No it is not possible, because Syria will not hear us, nor agree with us and we want Assad out.

Since the United Nations has power of legal respect and institutional problem solving, including the levy of war concertively, it can be used to stop Syria and still may.

No it is not possible, because Syria will not hear us, nor agree with us and we want Assad out.

Other nations, and the UN,  can also negotiate a semi-truce with the Assad Government and seek to find and secure chemical weapons in Syrian Government control, and station a military liaison with those forces holding them to guard against their use; until they are destroyed safely.

The latter acts would spare Syria the random and specific destruction and damage to her military capacities and territory; and to the Syrian conveyors of that process internally and externally.

Since facts are at issue, here is a broadly accepted modern one – an axiom or corollary  really --  military actions hurt!  Military kill, wound, maim, destroy and damage.  They anger.  They also invite any capacitied retaliation.  Military strikes also harden their intended target and increase resistance to a prior negotiated article.

Syria is not ready for a push over the side (ie the Assad Government – which has now been externally degenerated to a regime as if Libya).  A military action may bring retaliation against neutral proximate nations.  It may bring  external terrorism or crimes against the external deliverers of military force.  It may bring formal organized war. 

Negotiation of a nature which produces a freeze and current territory control by mixed forces in Syria; followed by a conference table are still in reach.  Syria has admitted the killings but to a lesser number,  in the August 21 event.  If her Government accepted its responsibility, it would accede the need to investigate, arrest, and internally punish –certainly suspend those responsible.

Governments are not gunfighters modernly.  They are delegations of their people in modern society and in more tolerance of consent by default than imagined.  They, when professionals staff them, rather than thugs, deliver intellectual resolutions, and use military and methods of death as a last resort – usually reserved for defense.

Military action against Syria is not necessary and must not be used for punishment whenever it is applied, save for a reversion to real-politik.  That’s  really old-fashioned.

While modern nations may not have a science fiction tool to end a threat or to “dissolve something” from on high, modern peoples do have the brain power to resolve  a matter other than by a resort to force.  Our modern post-WWII which ended September 7 in 1945, committed our modern peoples to future resolve by means other than force.

Syria must be resolved non forcibly for political futures and by cession to a modern international negotiative process, with a follow up of criminal prosecution afterwards –whoever the Syrian General or similar, who could have ordered an event as a government officer might be.

No military action now.  (Let’s sound like Americans and not like Israelis)

SYRIA: Marshalling the Facts

Marshalling the Facts is not a difficult task regarding Syria, if the facts are obtainable.  Secretary of State Kerry and  Senator McCain on Sunday US morning news shows (CNN & Face the Nation (CBS) & likely other programs (dominicales); repeatedly refer to facts not in objective neutral existence, and to bad character aversion forms such as  Bashar and Assad and dictator etc.   (never President Bashar Assad).  (Syria has been styled authoritarian for about 30 years now).

Both refer to a material predicament in advance of the US consultative process of the White House with Congress.

CNN reported this morning that a material fact of proof of Sarin use has been established by tissue and site samples which are UN inspector affirmed.  France24.com reports that the UN will only release the inspectors’ results when those tissue and other medical samples are tested by UN certified facilities.

Getting those facts in evidence, as evidence, was difficult, requiring the negotiating process which Syria ceded to admit UN inspectors.

Verifying the strength and nature of any nerve gas or chemical weapon is also  essential.

Sarin used in Japan for a low homegrown terror group, was crude, but homemade SARIN (ie cf the bean cake bag).  Certifying a government weapons quality and or specialty industrial manufacture is another.

Syria will have to own up or admit to the facts, and should not have to await a Damocletian sword of punishment; save it postures an arrogance contemptuously brandishing and maintaining such weapons.

No great power has commended a process of neutral dismantlement and removal of Syria chemical weapons stores (cf Kadaffi’s resolves with nuclear materials – maybe others).

Russia and Iran remain to convinced, not embarrassed, as if at a University forensics club bout.

Syria in a confounding which President Putin has referenced,h as shot itself in the foot if the matters alleged are true.  Something smells rotten on the powers choices (and in a push to do so) to resort to military action; joined with vocal shouts of comparison to Saddam Hussein and Hitler.  This is becoming  jingoistic, bombastic and not sounding as material diplomacy.  President Hollande rather than behaving as a statesman of France, is rallying a populist bully pulpit.

Syria needs to open internationally, to reckon her government(s) and to come to an internationally hosted table of process to new domestic peace and constitutionalism.

Despite the posters, Syria is not a one man state, and this attack proves it.

If the evidence can be released of an inner rogue command structure; do so.  Share it with Syria and other powers.  Perhaps in converse, as madly as the Administration paints it, President Assad and his wing can humanize the nation now yellowed.